L1 · L1-B crypto funding channels · stablecoins (confirm, don't predict)
Trading bullets · incl. Tron (parallel)
Trading core without removing Tron. Tron USDT mixes remittances with OTC on-ramps and exchange hot wallets, which cannot be separated on-chain — so both lenses are shown.
Source：DefiLlama（逐币）Level：auxDescriptive
Current reading · as of 2026-10-04
+0.25%
Flat13-week change +0.25% (level $265.03B), 52w +2.8%
Zones: rules and how often each occurred
| Zone | Rule | Share of history in this zone |
|---|---|---|
| Contracting | < -1.00% | 17.6% |
| Flat ◀ now | -1.00% ~ +1.00% | 9.1% |
| Expanding | ≥ +1.00% | 73.3% |
Normal range
Current
+0.25%
Percentile 25
Normal range (p10–p90)
-4.05% ~ +111.94%
80% of history
Typical (p25–p75)
+0.30% ~ +49.81%
median +11.40%
Extremes
-74.86% ~ +54560.12%
2018-03-02 – 2026-10-04, 450 weekly observations
p5 -8.03%median +11.40%p95 +214.11%
Window: 2018-03-02 – 2026-10-04, 450 weekly observations. L1 macro gauges use post-2018 data only (macro had no explanatory power over BTC in 2010–2017); on-chain cycle gauges use full history. Percentiles describe position in history — not trade signals.
Judged series · full history 13-week change · dashed = zone boundaries; blue band = normal range (light p10–p90, dark p25–p75)
Trading bullets · incl. Tron (parallel)
For reference: BTC price (log scale, proportional to % moves) same time axis, linked hover
Rules and evidence grades: Methodology; rule changes are logged in Corrections.